Israel should take note: the weight of opinion is turning against it
Opinion, by Jonathan Freedland* – The Guardian
Thanks in part to a
global focus more intense than on any other conflict, western attitudes to the
Middle East may be shifting
over, because it’s never over. But there is at least the hope of a
pause. After less than a fortnight in which nearly 250 people have been killed,
both Hamas and Israel agreed
late on Thursday to hold their fire, each crafting a victory story to tell
the world and themselves.
For Hamas, the narrative is simple enough. Despite being
caged in a tiny terrain, and with a fraction of their foe’s resources, they
managed to surprise the enemy and strike at its civilian heart. They unleashed a
torrent of missiles, more sophisticated than before, some of them breaching
Israel’s Iron Dome defence system and landing not only on Israel’s peripheral
towns but also its central city of Tel Aviv. It can claim, ahead of its Fatah
rivals in the West Bank, to be the guardian of the Muslim holy places in
Jerusalem. What’s more, it watched with satisfaction as a hole was ripped in
Israel’s social fabric, with the country’s Jewish and Arab citizens attacking
each other on streets they once shared.
the generals are briefing that Operation Guardian of the Walls degraded Hamas’s
military capacity, that most of those it killed were Hamas fighters, and that
more has been done in the last 10 days than the equivalent offensives of 2009,
2012 and 2014 combined.
But they’re not fooling anyone. Israel knows that it has
endured a strategic disaster, the “most failed and pointless border war” in its
to Haaretz’s editor, Aluf Benn. It did not see the Hamas attack coming and
its vulnerability under fire will have been noted by Hezbollah to the north,
which holds a much more powerful arsenal than Hamas’s, and by Hezbollah’s
patron in Tehran.
Still, the bigger failings predate and go beyond this latest
eruption. Israel told itself all was quiet on the Gaza front. More than that,
it thought it had stilled the Palestinian issue altogether, convinced that its
accords” with Gulf states and others had made the Palestinians all but
irrelevant. It has now seen the folly of that delusion.
Which points to the other strategic danger for Israel. It
could yet prove ephemeral; the international attention span is short, people
might soon scroll on to the next big thing. But plenty of credible observers
wonder if a turning point was reached this last fortnight in the way the
Israel/Palestine conflict is seen around the world and especially in the west.
For a loud and influential segment of opinion, it is being reframed not as a
national conflict of competing claims, but as a straightforward matter of
racial justice. Note the placards at last weekend’s demonstration
in London: Palestine Can’t Breathe and Palestinian Lives Matter.
Framed that way, #FreePalestine could be on its way to
joining #MeToo or #BlackLivesMatter as an issue that a global generation
regards as of paramount importance, championed not just by politicians but by
the leading lights of popular culture, from footballers
to fashion influencers with millions of followers. The intercommunal
clashes between Jews and Arabs inside Israel reinforce that reading, with
incidents of police brutality or discrimination in the criminal justice system
that seem to map neatly on to the BLM template.
Those with a strong connection to Israel scratch
their heads at this, wondering why, of all the appalling things going on in
the world, this is the one that cuts through – bringing huge crowds on to the
streets of European capitals, filling up social media timelines. They note that
people who have barely stirred at the detention of a
million Uyghur Muslims in China; who have not so much as “liked” a tweet
about the tens
of thousands of Rohingya Muslims murdered by Myanmar; who rarely get
agitated by the 200,000
civilians butchered by the Assad regime in Syria or by the 130,000
killed in Saudi Arabia’s war on Yemen; and who might be wholly unaware of
the 52,000 estimated to
have been killed in the Ethiopian-Tigray conflict since November, have
nevertheless been filled with fury by events in Gaza.
Much of the explanation is that Israel/Palestine is simply
more visible, with media coverage on a scale unmatched by any of those other
catastrophes. When 6,700
Rohingya Muslims were killed in a single month, the major broadcasters did
not fly out their presenters to anchor coverage on the spot or nearby. There
are no hourly updates of the death toll in Ethiopia, and few interviews with or
photographs of the grieving relatives of Yemen. A former Associated Press
reporter in Jerusalem has
written that he was one of more than 40 staff journalists covering
Israel/Palestine, which was then “significantly more news staff than the AP had
in China, Russia, or India, or in all of the 50 countries of sub-Saharan Africa
combined”. The effect, he wrote, is to signal to readers that Israel/Palestine
is “the most important story on Earth” – and, by implication, that the
wrongdoing there is worse than anything else on the planet.
You could fill many doctoral dissertations asking what
explains this intensity of focus. It can’t be the number of deaths, because
many, many more have been killed in those other places. It can’t be the fact
that Israel is a favoured western ally; so is Saudi Arabia. Perhaps it’s simply
that the Israeli occupation has now endured for 54 years, though Turkey, a Nato
member, has waged a war on the Kurds nearly as long.
In a way, the search for an explanation is secondary. More
important are the consequences. Jewish communities know they have to brace
themselves every time violence erupts: this latest episode brought a sixfold
increase in reports of antisemitic
incidents in the UK, according to the Community Security Trust. Of course,
most pro-Palestinian campaigners stress they have no grievance against diaspora
Jews. But the fervour stirred up by this conflict can get so hot, it is not
always easy to control.
As for Israel, for its leaders to complain about the
scrutiny they get is, as the old line has it, like a sailor complaining about
the sea. Instead, they need to adjust to the fact that they could soon face a
new strategic reality in which the politics of their closest ally, the US, is
changing especially. No less striking than Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez branding
Israel an “apartheid
state” was this week’s move by longtime pro-Israel Democrats in Congress to
the transfer of an arms package to Israel.
At the moment, it’s easy to dismiss this as a passing fad –
to note that even if Capitol Hill might be shifting, plenty of continental
European politicians are heading in the opposite
direction, becoming more, not less, sympathetic to Israel. But Israel
should read the warning signs. Those of us who have long
condemned the occupation always argued that if Israel did not do the right
thing and end it, it would eventually be branded a pariah state. If the last two weeks are anything
to go by, that day is getting closer. Fri
21 May 2021
*Jonathan Freedland is
a Guardian columnist. He is also a regular contributor to the New York Review
of Books and presents BBC Radio 4’s The Long View. In 2014 he
was awarded the Orwell special prize for journalism. His books include seven
thrillers written under the pseudonym Sam Bourne.
The Guardian view on
the US and Israel: time for change
Joe Biden’s approach to this conflict is as
expected. But the views of his party and the public are changing. In all, 228
Palestinians in the Gaza Strip have died, at least 63 of them
children, while 12 people in Israel, including two
children, were killed by rockets fired by Palestinian militant groups.